Trevor Svajda vs Michael Zheng — Cincinnati Q32

Cincinnati · ATP · Q32
USA
Trevor Svajda
#383ATP
1485ELO
1451Hard ELO
20 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWWLWWW
1 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 13 August 2026 ·
hard
USA18
Michael Zheng
#110ATP
1695ELO
1672Hard ELO
$310kYTD
$502kCAREER
22 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLWLW
Svajda T.
6-3 5-7 3-6
Zheng M.
Svajda T.
6531
Zheng M.
3762

Michael Zheng defeated Trevor Svajda in the qualifying second round of the Cincinnati hard-court tournament, 3-6, 7-5, 6-3. Zheng hit 12 aces and converted 27% of break points, while Svajda had one ace and converted 14%. Zheng won the match, taking three service breaks to Svajda's two.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Svajda T.Zheng M.
1st serve in·Slight edge
55%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
51%
Service points won·Even
59%
63%
Return points won·Even
43%
39%
Break points saved·Even
57%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.6
5.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.0
1.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (5 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Svajda T.28%
Zheng M.72%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Zheng M. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Svajda T.
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Zheng M.
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
2.2Hard Elo 1450
Surface ELO
7.8+221 Hard Elo edge
2.4Overall Elo 1485
ELO gap
7.6Overall Elo 1695
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.45 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.06 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
6.4Won 74% in Usa (57)
Country comfort
6.0Won 66% in Usa (50)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Svajda T.Zheng M.
Freshness·Clear edge
82
59

Svajda T.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 52 games (7d) · Zheng M.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 108 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
19°CMainly clear
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 89%

Draw