Hanne Vandewinkel vs Rebecca SramkovaCincinnati Q32

Cincinnati · WTA · Q32
#82WTA
1690ELO
1730Hard ELO
22 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Thursday, 13 August 2026 ·
hard
#128WTA
1654ELO
1629Hard ELO
29 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLWWWLW
Vandewinkel H.
6-4 3-6 6-3
Sramkova R.
Vandewinkel H.
6362
Sramkova R.
4631

Rebecca Sramkova defeated Hanne Vandewinkel in the qualifying second round of the Cincinnati hard-court tournament, 6-4, 3-6, 6-3. Sramkova hit two aces and seven double faults, winning 65 percent of her first serves and converting 50 percent of her break points. Vandewinkel had eight aces and 12 double faults, winning 71 percent of her first serves and converting 31 percent of her break points.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
48%
Service points won·Even
60%
56%
Return points won·Even
44%
43%
Break points saved·Even
60%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.7
4.4
Double faults / match·Even
3.2
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (47 vs 35). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
78
54
Break points saved·Dominant
70
28
Break points won·Clear edge
91
75
Deciding sets·Slight edge
93
88
Tiebreaks·
55

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Vandewinkel H.55%
Sramkova R.45%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
6.3+101 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.7Hard Elo 1629
5.5Overall Elo 1690
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1654
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
8.69 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.07 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
75
86

Vandewinkel H.: 5 days rest · 3 matches, 66 games (7d) · Sramkova R.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
25°CMainly clear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 91%

Draw