Yassine Smiej vs Faris ZakaryiaM15 Warsaw Round of 16

M15 Warsaw · ITF · Round of 16
#1243ATP
26 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLLLLW
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 13 August 2026 ·
hard
#520ATP
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLLWWL
Smiej Y.
5-7 2-6
Zakaryia F.
Smiej Y.
520
Zakaryia F.
762

Faris Zakaryia defeated Yassine Smiej 7-5, 6-2 in the Round of 16 at the M15 Warsaw hard-court tournament. Zakaryia converted 86% of his break points and secured six service breaks, compared to Smiej's three, en route to the victory. Zakaryia also had one ace and one double fault, while Smiej had no aces and six double faults.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
69%
55%
1st serve points won·Even
59%
62%
2nd serve points won·Clear edge
30%
42%
Service points won·Even
50%
53%
Return points won·Even
40%
37%
Break points saved·Clear edge
32%
45%
Aces / match·Even
1.0
1.5
Double faults / match·Even
4.0
4.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (4 vs 6). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Smiej Y.27%
Zakaryia F.73%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Zakaryia F. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
2.43 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 7
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
87

Zakaryia F.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 35%

Draw