Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Mary StoianaCincinnati Q32

Cincinnati · WTA · Q32
#99WTA
1670ELO
1660Hard ELO
23 yrs · 172 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLWLWLWL
1 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 13 August 2026 ·
hard
#130WTA
1656ELO
1567Hard ELO
23 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWWLWW
Selekhmeteva O.
0-6 7-5 4-6
Stoiana M.
Selekhmeteva O.
0741
Stoiana M.
6562

Mary Stoiana defeated Oksana Selekhmeteva in the Cincinnati qualifying round 2, winning 6-0, 5-7, 6-4. Stoiana and Selekhmeteva did not hit any aces in the match. Stoiana converted 41% of her break points and won 7 service breaks to Selekhmeteva's 4, while also committing 7 double faults to Selekhmeteva's 15.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
63%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
42%
48%
Service points won·Even
54%
58%
Return points won·Even
46%
45%
Break points saved·Even
56%
56%
Aces / match·Even
2.4
1.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
6.9
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 48). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Selekhmeteva O.52%
Stoiana M.48%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.2+93 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.8Hard Elo 1567
5.2Overall Elo 1670
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1656
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.34 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.94 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Country comfort
6.0Won 66% in Usa (92)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
83
80

Selekhmeteva O.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d) · Stoiana M.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
20°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 93%

Draw