Joshua Peck vs Axel NefveM25 East Lansing Round of 16

M25 East Lansing · ITF · Round of 16
#1281ATP
27 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLLWLLLW
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 13 August 2026 ·
hard
#1007ATP
26 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLW
Peck J.
3-6 1-6
Nefve A.
Peck J.
310
Nefve A.
662

Joshua Peck defeated Axel Nefve in the Round of 16 at the M25 East Lansing tournament, winning 6-3, 6-1 on hard courts. Peck served 2 aces and committed 5 double faults, while converting 50% of his break points and winning 56% of his first serves. Nefve had 3 aces, 0 double faults, 74% first-serve win percentage, 71% break points converted, and 5 service breaks.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
68%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
42%
Service points won·Even
60%
57%
Return points won·Even
44%
42%
Break points saved·Even
53%
57%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.7
4.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.7
8.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (3 vs 5). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Peck J.31%
Nefve A.69%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Nefve A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
3.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
1.82 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.43 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.2Won 53% in Usa (57)
Country comfort
5.3Won 54% in Usa (107)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 1 km/hHumidity 96%

Draw