Mathieu Scaglia vs Pablo Perez NavarroM25 Idanha-A-Nova Round of 16

M25 Idanha-A-Nova · ITF · Round of 16
#1041ATP
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLLLWLW
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 13 August 2026 ·
hard
#1659ATP
18 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLLWW
Scaglia M.
1-6 1-6
Perez Navarro P.
Scaglia M.
110
Perez Navarro P.
662

Pablo Perez Navarro defeated Mathieu Scaglia 6-1, 6-1 in the Round of 16 at the M25 Idanha-A-Nova tournament. Perez Navarro hit 3 aces and 3 double faults, while Scaglia had 0 aces and 2 double faults. Perez Navarro converted 62% of break points and won 85% of first-serve points to secure the win, breaking Scaglia's serve 5 times and not losing his own serve.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
57%
58%
1st serve points won·Dominant
77%
52%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
41%
Service points won·Clear edge
66%
47%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
33%
Break points saved·Dominant
73%
0%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.7
1.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.0
8.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (3 vs 1). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Scaglia M.66%
Perez Navarro P.34%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Scaglia M. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
33°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 28%

Draw