Max Sheldon vs Naoki NakagawaM25 East Lansing Round of 16

M25 East Lansing · ITF · Round of 16
#1334ATP
23 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 13 August 2026 ·
hard
#745ATP
1289ELO
1271Hard ELO
29 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWWWLLLW
Sheldon M.
6-4 6-4
Nakagawa N.
Sheldon M.
662
Nakagawa N.
440

Max Sheldon advanced to the quarterfinals of the M25 East Lansing tournament with a 6-4, 6-4 victory over Naoki Nakagawa in the Round of 16. Sheldon converted 67% of his break points and secured four service breaks, while Nakagawa converted 29% of his break points and secured two service breaks. Sheldon hit one ace and four double faults, compared to Nakagawa's three aces and three double faults.

Key context

  • Match story: Max Sheldon edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·
56%
1st serve points won·
82%
2nd serve points won·
51%
Service points won·
68%
Return points won·
38%
Break points saved·
58%
Aces / match·
11.3
Double faults / match·
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Sheldon M.13%
Nakagawa N.87%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Nakagawa N. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
4.95 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
5.1Won 52% in Usa (23)
Country comfort
5.8Won 64% in Usa (36)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
23°COvercast
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 91%

Draw