Lilli Tagger vs Robin MontgomeryCincinnati Q32

Cincinnati · WTA · Q32
#48WTA
1684ELO
1687Hard ELO
18 yrs · 185 cm
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 13 August 2026 ·
hard
#199WTA
1739ELO
1649Hard ELO
21 yrs · 178 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWWWWWW
Tagger L.
6-3 6-1
Montgomery R.
Tagger L.
662
Montgomery R.
310

Lilli Tagger defeated Robin Montgomery 6-3, 6-1 in the qualifying second round of the Cincinnati hard-court tournament. Tagger hit 4 aces and 1 double fault, winning 73 percent of her first-serve points. She converted 46 percent of break points and won 6 service breaks to Montgomery's 2.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
68%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
44%
Service points won·Even
61%
59%
Return points won·Even
42%
44%
Break points saved·Even
56%
58%
Aces / match·Even
4.4
5.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.1
5.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (47 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Tagger L.56%
Montgomery R.44%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.5+38 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.5Hard Elo 1649
4.3Overall Elo 1684
ELO gap
5.7Overall Elo 1739
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
9.29 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.46 of last 10 on hard
9.06-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Country comfort
6.0Won 67% in Usa (67)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year
5.0Opponent hot: 9 of last 10
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
76
86

Tagger L.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 68 games (7d) · Montgomery R.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 47 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
19°CRain
Wind 20 km/hHumidity 94%

Draw