Markus Molder vs Arvid Nordquist — M15 Turku Quarter-final

M15 Turku · ITF · Quarter-final
EST
Markus Molder
#855ATP
21 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWWWLWW
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 13 August 2026 ·
hard
SWE7
Arvid Nordquist
#849ATP
28 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWWL
Molder M.
3-6 1-6
Nordquist A.
Molder M.
310
Nordquist A.
662

Arvid Nordquist defeated Markus Molder 6-3, 6-1 in the quarterfinals of the M15 Turku tournament. Nordquist converted all four of his break points and won 81% of his first-serve points. He hit one ace and one double fault, compared to six aces and three double faults for Molder.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Molder M.Nordquist A.
1st serve in·
59%
—
1st serve points won·
63%
—
2nd serve points won·
50%
—
Service points won·
57%
—
Return points won·
40%
—
Break points saved·
74%
—
Aces / match·
1.5
—
Double faults / match·
2.5
—

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Molder M.65%
Nordquist A.35%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Molder M. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Molder M.
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Nordquist A.
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
17°COvercast
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 55%

Draw