Tatjana Maria vs Dayana Yastremska — Cincinnati Round of 128
Maria T.
Tatjana Maria defeated Dayana Yastremska in the Round of 128 at the Cincinnati tournament, winning 6-1, 6-2 on hard courts. Maria recorded 2 aces and 1 double fault, while Yastremska had 0 aces and 4 double faults. Maria converted 42% of her break points and broke Yastremska's serve 5 times, compared to Yastremska's 1 service break.
Key context
- Match story: Tatjana Maria dropped just 3 games past Dayana Yastremska.
Head to head
2–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-17 | Nottingham | R16 | grass | Tatjana Maria | 1-6 2-6 |
| 2023-01-30 | Hua Hin | R16 | hard | Tatjana Maria | 6-0 6-4 |
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (41 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadMaria T.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 35 games (7d) · Yastremska D.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 15 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About