Denis Shapovalov vs Adrian Mannarino — Cincinnati Round of 128
Shapovalov D.
Denis Shapovalov defeated Adrian Mannarino in the Round of 128 at the Cincinnati tournament, winning 6-1, 6-4 on hard courts. Shapovalov served 9 aces to Mannarino's 3 and converted 44% of break points, compared to Mannarino's 17%. Shapovalov won 4 service breaks to Mannarino's 1.
Around the match
Shapovalov retired from his Montreal first round but arrived in Cincinnati in excellent form following a Los Cabos final run.
Shapovalov D.Last Word On Sports ↗
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Key context
- Match story: Denis Shapovalov dropped just 5 games past Adrian Mannarino.
Head to head
2–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-07-29 | Washington | R32 | hard | Denis Shapovalov | 6-2 6-1 |
| 2017-10-23 | Basel | R16 | hard | Adrian Mannarino | 4-6 6-1 6-2 |
| 2017-08-07 | Canada Masters | QF | hard | Denis Shapovalov | 2-6 6-3 6-4 |
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Shapovalov D. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadShapovalov D.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 51 games (7d) · Mannarino A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About