Mark Lajal vs Dalibor SvrcinaCincinnati Q64

Cincinnati · ATP · Q64
#159ATP
1589ELO
1556Hard ELO
$97kYTD
$654kCAREER
23 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Thursday, 13 August 2026 ·
hard
#114ATP
1640ELO
1624Hard ELO
$304kYTD
$1.3MCAREER
23 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLLWLLW
Lajal M.
5-7 6-4 6-3
Svrcina D.
Lajal M.
5662
Svrcina D.
7431

Mark Lajal defeated Dalibor Svrcina in the qualifying round 64 of the Cincinnati hard-court tournament. Lajal won the match 5-7, 6-4, 6-3. He hit 6 aces to Svrcina's 2 and converted 73 percent of his break points to secure the victory.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
74%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
64%
58%
Return points won·Slight edge
36%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
70%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.4
1.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.3
4.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
43
34
Break points saved·Dominant
89
44
Break points won·Dominant
13
90
Deciding sets·Clear edge
42
27
Tiebreaks·Dominant
81
30

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Lajal M.46%
Svrcina D.54%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.1Hard Elo 1556
Surface ELO
5.9+68 Hard Elo edge
4.4Overall Elo 1588
ELO gap
5.6Overall Elo 1640
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.97 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.55 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
71
89

Lajal M.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 83 games (7d) · Svrcina D.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 31 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
19°COvercast
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 95%

Draw