Bogdan Pavel vs Rafael Izquierdo LuqueM25 Idanha-A-Nova Round of 16

M25 Idanha-A-Nova · ITF · Round of 16
#516ATP
27 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWWWWWW
1 — 0
Sets
Retired
Thursday, 13 August 2026 ·
hard
#726ATP
26 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLLWW
Pavel B.
6-2 3-1
Izquierdo Luque R.
Pavel B.
631
Izquierdo Luque R.
210

Bogdan Pavel advanced to the quarterfinals of the M25 Idanha-A-Nova tournament with a win over Rafael Izquierdo Luque in the Round of 16. Izquierdo Luque retired during the match, trailing 6-2, 3-1. Pavel secured the victory, converting three of six break points and winning 90 percent of his first-serve points.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·
69%
1st serve points won·
57%
2nd serve points won·
50%
Service points won·
55%
Return points won·
35%
Break points saved·
65%
Aces / match·
1.4
Double faults / match·
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Pavel B.38%
Izquierdo Luque R.62%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Izquierdo Luque R. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.95 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
30°CClear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 35%

Draw