Kulambayeva vs Ristic — W75 Kursumlijska Banja 2 Round of 16

W75 Kursumlijska Banja 2 · ITF · Round of 16

KAZ

Zhibek Kulambayeva

#486WTA

1402ELO

1391Clay ELO

26 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LWWWWLLWLW

0 — 2

Sets

Thursday, 13 August 2026 · 10:20

clay

SRB3

Mia Ristic

#219WTA

1504ELO

1479Clay ELO

20 yrs

Last 10 · pre-match

WWWWLWWWWW

Kulambayeva Z.

4-6 2-6

Ristic M.

Kulambayeva Z.

420

Ristic M.

662

Mia Ristic advanced to the quarterfinals of the W75 Kursumlijska Banja 2 by defeating Zhibek Kulambayeva in the Round of 16. The match ended with a score of 6-4, 6-2 in favor of Ristic. Key stats included Ristic's 2 aces and 0 double faults compared to Kulambayeva's 1 ace and 2 double faults, and Ristic's 6 service breaks to Kulambayeva's 3.

Key context

Match story: Mia Ristic dropped just 6 games past Zhibek Kulambayeva.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season

Kulambayeva Z.serving43% hold

wins 47% of points on serve vs Ristic M.

Ristic M.serving41% hold

wins 46% of points on serve vs Kulambayeva Z.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season

Kulambayeva Z.Ristic M.

1st serve in·Slight edge

73%

67%

1st serve points won·Even

60%

62%

2nd serve points won·Slight edge

43%

53%

Service points won·Even

55%

59%

Return points won·Slight edge

50%

45%

Break points saved·Even

57%

55%

Aces / match·Slight edge

0.8

1.5

Double faults / match·Dominant

2.7

1.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 41). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC

Kulambayeva Z.36%

Ristic M.64%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Ristic M. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Kulambayeva Z.

3.7

Heavy underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Ristic M.

6.5

Marginal edgeUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

3.9Clay Elo 1391

Surface ELO

6.1+88 Clay Elo edge

3.7Overall Elo 1402

ELO gap

6.3Overall Elo 1504

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

3.64 of last 10 on clay

Surface form

5.86 of last 10 on clay

0.0

Win streak

0.0

Fatigue & Travel

3-set count

4.02 three-setters in 14 days

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load

Kulambayeva Z.Ristic M.

Freshness·

—

100

Ristic M.: 19 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather

29°CClear

Wind 19 km/hHumidity 20%

Zhibek Kulambayeva vs Mia Ristic — W75 Kursumlijska Banja 2 Round of 16

Key context

Head to head

Serve vs return

Statistics

Win Probability

Umpiry Score

Freshness

Conditions

Draw

Serve vs return