Sinja Kraus vs Claire LiuCincinnati Q32

Cincinnati · WTA · Q32
#85WTA
1736ELO
1645Hard ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 13 August 2026 ·
hard
#114WTA
1669ELO
1635Hard ELO
26 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLLWWWW
Kraus S.
6-4 6-3
Liu C.
Kraus S.
662
Liu C.
430

Sinja Kraus defeated Claire Liu 6-4, 6-3 in the qualifying second round of the Cincinnati hard-court tournament. Kraus hit one ace and two double faults, while winning 68 percent of her first serves and converting 50 percent of her break points. Kraus broke Liu's serve five times, while Liu broke Kraus' serve twice.

Key context

  • Match story: Sinja Kraus closed it out in two sets, 6–4 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
69%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
47%
Service points won·Even
56%
57%
Return points won·Even
46%
47%
Break points saved·Even
57%
54%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.3
2.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.2
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (58 vs 45). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
56
29
Break points saved·Clear edge
43
23
Break points won·Clear edge
97
76
Deciding sets·Dominant
90
34
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
31
39

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Kraus S.36%
Liu C.64%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Liu C. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.1+10 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.9Hard Elo 1635
5.8Overall Elo 1736
ELO gap
4.2Overall Elo 1669
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
5.96 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
8.68 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
Country comfort
6.1Won 69% in Usa (80)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
82
89

Kraus S.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 59 games (7d) · Liu C.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
19°CRain
Wind 20 km/hHumidity 94%

Draw