Daria Kasatkina vs Zeynep Sonmez — Cincinnati Round of 128

Cincinnati · WTA · Round of 128
Daria Kasatkina
AUS
Daria Kasatkina
#68WTA
1795ELO
1757Hard ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWW
1 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 13 August 2026 ·
hard
Zeynep Sonmez
TUR
Zeynep Sonmez
#50WTA
1800ELO
1730Hard ELO
$806kYTD
$2.1MCAREER
24 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLWLLW
Kasatkina D.
6-2 6-7 3-6
Sonmez Z.
Kasatkina D.
6631
Sonmez Z.
2762

Daria Kasatkina defeated Zeynep Sonmez in the Round of 128 at the Cincinnati tournament on hard courts. The match ended with a score of 2-6, 7-6, 6-3 in favor of Kasatkina. Key stats included Kasatkina's 4 aces and 11 double faults compared to Sonmez's 0 aces and 3 double faults.

Key context

Head to head

1–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-25Roland GarrosR128clayDaria Kasatkina6-4 6-4

Statistics

This season
Kasatkina D.Sonmez Z.
1st serve in·Slight edge
70%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
59%
63%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
39%
49%
Service points won·Even
53%
57%
Return points won·Slight edge
50%
45%
Break points saved·Even
53%
55%
Aces / match·Even
2.0
1.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
6.3
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 40). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Kasatkina D.Sonmez Z.
Clutch Rating·Even
53
56
Break points saved·Slight edge
21
14
Break points won·Slight edge
100
94
Deciding sets·Slight edge
91
86
Tiebreaks·
16
—

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Kasatkina D.52%
Sonmez Z.48%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Kasatkina D.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Sonmez Z.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.3+27 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.7Hard Elo 1730
4.9Overall Elo 1795
ELO gap
5.1Overall Elo 1800
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
6.77 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.05 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Kasatkina D.Sonmez Z.
Freshness·Even
80
79

Kasatkina D.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d) · Sonmez Z.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 47 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
25°CMainly clear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 91%

Draw