Darja Vidmanova vs Anhelina KalininaCincinnati Round of 128

Cincinnati · WTA · Round of 128
#88WTA
1675ELO
1665Hard ELO
23 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWLWW
1 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 13 August 2026 ·
hard
#51WTA
1827ELO
1743Hard ELO
29 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLLLWL
Vidmanova D.
6-4 4-6 2-6
Kalinina A.
Vidmanova D.
6421
Kalinina A.
4662

Anhelina Kalinina defeated Darja Vidmanova in the Round of 128 of the Cincinnati hard-court tournament. Kalinina won the match 4-6, 6-4, 6-2. In the match, Kalinina hit 6 aces and 7 double faults, while Vidmanova had 6 aces and 3 double faults; Kalinina converted 50% of her break points and broke Vidmanova's serve 7 times, compared to Vidmanova's 5 breaks.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
69%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
48%
Service points won·Even
58%
57%
Return points won·Even
45%
49%
Break points saved·Even
58%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.0
1.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.4
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (48 vs 52). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Vidmanova D.47%
Kalinina A.53%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.0Hard Elo 1665
Surface ELO
6.0+78 Hard Elo edge
3.1Overall Elo 1674
ELO gap
6.9Overall Elo 1827
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
8.59 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.04 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
6.7Won 78% in Usa (51)
Country comfort
6.0Won 67% in Usa (33)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
88
75

Vidmanova D.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d) · Kalinina A.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 55 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
25°CMainly clear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 91%

Draw