Lucrezia Stefanini vs Leolia JeanjeanCincinnati Q32

Cincinnati · WTA · Q32
#142WTA
1527ELO
1497Hard ELO
28 yrs · 164 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 13 August 2026 ·
hard
#117WTA
1653ELO
1588Hard ELO
31 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWWWLWW
Stefanini L.
6-2 6-4
Jeanjean L.
Stefanini L.
662
Jeanjean L.
240

Lucrezia Stefanini defeated Leolia Jeanjean 6-2, 6-4 in the qualifying second round of the Cincinnati hard-court tournament. Stefanini hit one ace and three double faults, while converting 60 percent of her break points and winning 53 percent of her first-serve points. She won the match by taking six service breaks to Jeanjean's three.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-06-22WimbledonQ64grassLeolia Jeanjean6-3 2-6 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
76%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
54%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
52%
58%
Return points won·Slight edge
47%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
52%
62%
Aces / match·Clear edge
0.6
3.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.3
4.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 42). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
32
78
Break points saved·Dominant
26
75
Break points won·Slight edge
96
90
Deciding sets·Dominant
60
94
Tiebreaks·Dominant
19
67

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Stefanini L.40%
Jeanjean L.60%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Jeanjean L. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.9Hard Elo 1497
Surface ELO
6.1+90 Hard Elo edge
3.4Overall Elo 1527
ELO gap
6.6Overall Elo 1653
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
4.85 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.05 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
6.2Won 71% in Usa (34)
Country comfort
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
81
89

Stefanini L.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 44 games (7d) · Jeanjean L.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
19°CRain
Wind 20 km/hHumidity 94%

Draw