Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Kyrian JacquetCincinnati Q32

Cincinnati · ATP · Q32
#155ATP
1620ELO
1598Hard ELO
$293kYTD
$747kCAREER
19 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLLLWWLL
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 13 August 2026 ·
hard
#119ATP
1685ELO
1663Hard ELO
$269kYTD
$1.0MCAREER
25 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLWLL
Budkov Kjaer N.
5-7 4-6
Jacquet K.
Budkov Kjaer N.
540
Jacquet K.
762

Kyrian Jacquet defeated Nicolai Budkov Kjaer 7-5, 6-4 in the qualifying second round of the Cincinnati hard-court tournament. Jacquet served five aces and hit three double faults, while converting 36 percent of break points and winning 61 percent of first-serve points. Jacquet broke Kjaer's serve five times, while Kjaer broke three times.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
52%
Service points won·Even
63%
64%
Return points won·Even
38%
40%
Break points saved·Even
59%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.0
5.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.5
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
67
47
Break points saved·Slight edge
78
87
Break points won·Clear edge
39
27
Deciding sets·Dominant
96
40
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
81
91

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Budkov Kjaer N.44%
Jacquet K.56%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.2Hard Elo 1598
Surface ELO
5.8+65 Hard Elo edge
4.2Overall Elo 1620
ELO gap
5.8Overall Elo 1685
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.76 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.57 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
84
82

Budkov Kjaer N.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d) · Jacquet K.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 55 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
19°CMainly clear
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 89%

Draw