Rebecca Sramkova vs Elsa JacquemotCincinnati Q64

Cincinnati · WTA · Q64
#128WTA
1654ELO
1629Hard ELO
29 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 13 August 2026 ·
hard
#102WTA
1611ELO
1581Hard ELO
23 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLLLWL
Sramkova R.
7-5 6-3
Jacquemot E.
Sramkova R.
762
Jacquemot E.
530

Rebecca Sramkova defeated Elsa Jacquemot 7-5, 6-3 in the qualifying round 64 of the Cincinnati hard-court tournament. Sramkova served eight aces to Jacquemot's three and won four service breaks to her opponent's two. The match saw both players commit one double fault each and convert break points at a 67% rate.

Key context

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-09-09MonastirR32hardRebecca Sramkova2-6 7-5 6-3
2024-01-25W75+H Porto 1R16hardElsa Jacquemot7-5 7-5
2022-12-09W100+H Dubai 1QFhardElsa Jacquemot6-1 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
62%
2nd serve points won·Clear edge
48%
36%
Service points won·Even
56%
52%
Return points won·Even
43%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
49%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.4
2.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.1
6.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (35 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
54
33
Break points saved·Dominant
28
75
Break points won·Clear edge
75
93
Deciding sets·Dominant
88
17
Tiebreaks·Dominant
55
19

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Sramkova R.57%
Jacquemot E.43%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.6+48 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.4Hard Elo 1581
5.5Overall Elo 1654
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1611
5.2Split 1–1 on hard
H2H
4.8Split 1–1 on hard
6.16 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
1.82 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
86
95

Sramkova R.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d) · Jacquemot E.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
19°CRain
Wind 20 km/hHumidity 94%

Draw