Rinky Hijikata vs Gael MonfilsCincinnati Round of 128

Cincinnati · ATP · Round of 128
#95ATP
1748ELO
1694Hard ELO
$601kYTD
$4.1MCAREER
25 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Friday, 14 August 2026 ·
hard
#305ATP
1803ELO
1784Hard ELO
39 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWLWLW
Hijikata R.
2-6 7-6 6-3
Monfils G.
Hijikata R.
27762
Monfils G.
66531

Rinky Hijikata defeated Gael Monfils in the Round of 128 at the Cincinnati tournament on hard courts, coming back from a set down to win 2-6, 7-6, 6-3. Hijikata served 3 aces and committed 4 double faults, while Monfils had 16 aces and 7 double faults. Hijikata converted 60% of his break points and won 3 service breaks, compared to Monfils' 67% conversion rate and 4 service breaks.

Around the match

  • Monfils earns a wildcard slot in Djokovic's quarter at Cincinnati, reuniting with the draw after recent absences.

    Monfils G.rg.org
  • In his final season before retirement at age 40, Monfils receives a wild card to Cincinnati for what may be his last appearance at the event, seeking to recapture past success after a 3-7 year record.

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
73%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
44%
Service points won·Even
62%
61%
Return points won·Even
37%
36%
Break points saved·Even
62%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.8
8.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.6
4.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 10). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
46
86
Break points saved·Slight edge
86
96
Break points won·Dominant
12
79
Deciding sets·Dominant
60
89
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
92
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 22:50 UTC
Hijikata R.52%
Monfils G.48%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.9Hard Elo 1694
Surface ELO
6.1+90 Hard Elo edge
4.3Overall Elo 1748
ELO gap
5.7Overall Elo 1803
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.06 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.53 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
7.1Won 85% in Usa (41)
Country comfort
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
74
87

Hijikata R.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 67 games (7d) · Monfils G.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
27°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 88%

Draw