Marcos Giron vs Henrique Rocha — Cincinnati Q64

Cincinnati · ATP · Q64
Marcos Giron
USA4
Marcos Giron
#83ATP
1718ELO
1704Hard ELO
$500kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
33 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWLL
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 13 August 2026 ·
hard
POR
Henrique Rocha
#126ATP
1676ELO
1574Hard ELO
$199kYTD
$883kCAREER
22 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLWWW
Giron M.
4-6 6-7
Rocha H.
Giron M.
460
Rocha H.
672

Henrique Rocha defeated Marcos Giron 6-4, 7-6 in a Cincinnati qualifying first-round match. Rocha hit 5 aces and 3 double faults, winning 70% of his first serves and converting 33% of break points. He won 3 service breaks to Giron's 2.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Giron M.Rocha H.
1st serve in·Even
64%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
53%
Service points won·Even
66%
63%
Return points won·Even
36%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.2
2.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.8
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (38 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Giron M.Rocha H.
Clutch Rating·Even
44
45
Break points saved·Dominant
94
67
Break points won·Clear edge
37
25
Deciding sets·Dominant
31
57
Tiebreaks·Even
84
86

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Giron M.53%
Rocha H.47%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Giron M.
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Rocha H.
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.6+130 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.4Hard Elo 1574
5.5Overall Elo 1718
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1676
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.37 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.64 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 6
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Giron M.Rocha H.
Freshness·Slight edge
91
82

Giron M.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d) · Rocha H.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
19°COvercast
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 95%

Draw