Antonia Ruzic vs Magdalena FrechCincinnati Round of 128

Cincinnati · WTA · Round of 128
#61WTA
1739ELO
1717Hard ELO
$768kYTD
$1.4MCAREER
23 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLLWWL
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 13 August 2026 ·
hard
#41WTA
1725ELO
1700Hard ELO
$778kYTD
$4.9MCAREER
28 yrs · 171 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLLLL
Ruzic A.
2-6 5-7
Frech M.
Ruzic A.
250
Frech M.
672

Magdalena Frech defeated Antonia Ruzic in the Round of 128 at the Cincinnati tournament on hard courts, winning 6-2, 7-5. Frech served seven aces to Ruzic's none and converted six service breaks to Ruzic's three. Frech had a first-serve win percentage of 68% to Ruzic's 48%.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
58%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
44%
Service points won·Even
54%
58%
Return points won·Even
43%
43%
Break points saved·Even
56%
58%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.6
3.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.2
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (37 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
82
20
Break points saved·Dominant
84
15
Break points won·Dominant
96
49
Deciding sets·Dominant
82
28
Tiebreaks·
71

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Ruzic A.46%
Frech M.54%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.2+17 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.8Hard Elo 1700
5.2Overall Elo 1739
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1725
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.65 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.55 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Country comfort
5.9Won 66% in Usa (32)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
92
71

Ruzic A.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d) · Frech M.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 59 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
27°CMainly clear
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 88%

Draw