Thomas Fancutt vs Karl PolingM25 East Lansing Round of 16

M25 East Lansing · ITF · Round of 16
#810ATP
31 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWWLWWLW
1 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 13 August 2026 ·
hard
#491ATP
1314ELO
1320Hard ELO
27 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLW
Fancutt T.
6-3 6-7 1-6
Poling K.
Fancutt T.
6611
Poling K.
3762

Thomas Fancutt defeated Karl Poling in the Round of 16 at the M25 East Lansing tournament. The match ended with a score of 3-6, 7-6, 6-1 in favor of Fancutt. Fancutt served 8 aces to Poling's 3 and the two players were even in double faults, first-serve win percentage, and service breaks.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·
67%
1st serve points won·
66%
2nd serve points won·
52%
Service points won·
61%
Return points won·
41%
Break points saved·
59%
Aces / match·
1.7
Double faults / match·
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Fancutt T.46%
Poling K.54%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.75 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.25 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Country comfort
5.0Won 50% in Usa (34)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
83

Poling K.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
23°COvercast
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 91%

Draw