Matthew William Donald vs Oleksandr OvcharenkoM25 Muttenz Round of 16

M25 Muttenz · ITF · Round of 16
#461ATP
21 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 13 August 2026 ·
clay
#617ATP
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWLLW
William Donald M.
6-2 6-3
Ovcharenko O.
William Donald M.
662
Ovcharenko O.
230

Matthew William Donald defeated Oleksandr Ovcharenko 6-2, 6-3 in the Round of 16 at the M25 Muttenz clay court tournament. Donald hit 3 aces and 4 double faults, winning 63% of his first serves and converting 67% of his break points. He secured 6 service breaks to Ovcharenko's 2, advancing to the next round.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
44%
Service points won·Even
57%
60%
Return points won·Slight edge
47%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
51%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
0.8
2.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.1
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (12 vs 12). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
William Donald M.31%
Ovcharenko O.69%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Ovcharenko O. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.14 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.25 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
68
54

William Donald M.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 56 games (7d) · Ovcharenko O.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 94 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
24°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 46%

Draw