Aziz Dougaz vs Manas Dhamne — Astana Round of 16
Astana · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
TUNWC#629ATP
1390ELO
1374Hard ELO
29 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 13 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT 1 · 2nd on
IND7#368ATP
1399ELO
1393Hard ELO
18 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLLWW
Dougaz A.7-5 6-3
Dhamne M.
Dougaz A.
762
Dhamne M.
530
Aziz Dougaz defeated Manas Dhamne 7-5, 6-3 in the Round of 16 at the Astana hard-court tournament. Dougaz hit 6 aces and 3 double faults, winning 79% of his first serves and converting 75% of his break points. He won the match by taking 3 service breaks to Dhamne's 1.
Key context
- Match story: Aziz Dougaz closed it out in two sets, 7–5 6–3.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Even
59%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
51%
Service points won·Even
64%
60%
Return points won·Slight edge
33%
40%
Break points saved·Clear edge
69%
49%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.7
1.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.6
3.0
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (9 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 06:50 UTCDougaz A.62%
Dhamne M.38%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Slight edge · Dougaz A. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchForm & Matchup
4.8Hard Elo 1374
Surface ELO5.2+19 Hard Elo edge
4.9Overall Elo 1390
ELO gap5.1Overall Elo 1399
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
6.26 of last 10 on hard
Surface form5.25 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
27°COvercast
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 30%