Yi Yuan vs Kayla DayCincinnati Q32

Cincinnati · WTA · Q32
28 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLLLLLLL
1 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 13 August 2026 ·
hard
#121WTA
1595ELO
1576Hard ELO
26 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLLWW
Yuan Y.
6-2 5-7 3-6
Day K.
Yuan Y.
6531
Day K.
2762

Kayla Day defeated Yi Yuan in the qualifying second round of the Cincinnati hard-court tournament. The match ended with a score of 2-6, 7-5, 6-3 in favor of Day.

Key context

  • Match story: Kayla Day dropped the opening set before beating Yi Yuan 2–6 7–5 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·
67%
1st serve points won·
67%
2nd serve points won·
48%
Service points won·
61%
Return points won·
47%
Break points saved·
59%
Aces / match·
3.4
Double faults / match·
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Yuan Y.10%
Day K.90%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Day K. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.52 of last 7 on hard
Surface form
6.97 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Country comfort
5.9Won 66% in Usa (200)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
83
66

Yuan Y.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d) · Day K.: 3 days rest · 4 matches, 99 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
19°COvercast
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 95%

Draw