Andrea Colombo vs Goncalo MarquesM25 Idanha-A-Nova Round of 16

M25 Idanha-A-Nova · ITF · Round of 16
#1059ATP
23 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWLLWLL
1 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 13 August 2026 ·
hard
#1035ATP
20 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWWWW
Colombo A.
6-4 6-7 4-6
Marques G.
Colombo A.
6641
Marques G.
4762

Goncalo Marques defeated Andrea Colombo 4-6, 7-6, 6-4 in the Round of 16 at the M25 Idanha-A-Nova. The match saw Marques and Colombo record identical numbers in double faults (3) and service breaks (2), while Marques had 8 aces to Colombo's 9 and a slightly lower first-serve win percentage (79 vs 83). Colombo converted 33 percent of break points, compared to 25 percent for Marques.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
51%
Service points won·Even
61%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
36%
42%
Break points saved·Even
64%
63%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.8
3.4
Double faults / match·Even
3.0
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (9 vs 11). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Colombo A.68%
Marques G.32%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Colombo A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
33°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 29%

Draw