Adrian Oetzbach vs Thiago CigarranM15 Trier Round of 16

M15 Trier · ITF · Round of 16
#573ATP
28 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWLLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 13 August 2026 ·
clay
#694ATP
26 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWWL
Oetzbach A.
6-2 7-5
Cigarran T.
Oetzbach A.
672
Cigarran T.
250

Adrian Oetzbach defeated Thiago Cigarran in the Round of 16 at the M15 Trier tournament on clay, winning 6-2, 6-5. Oetzbach and Cigarran were even in aces and double faults, but Oetzbach converted 33% of break points to Cigarran's 8%, and won four service breaks to Cigarran's one. This victory advanced Oetzbach in the competition.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
46%
Service points won·Slight edge
61%
56%
Return points won·Even
42%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
50%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.4
2.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.8
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (17 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Oetzbach A.72%
Cigarran T.28%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Oetzbach A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.63 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.45 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
5.9Won 65% in Germany (20)
Country comfort
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
60

Cigarran T.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 76 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
31°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 20%

Draw