A. Tolev vs Andrey ChepelevM25 Kursumlijska Banja 3 Round of 16

M25 Kursumlijska Banja 3 · ITF · Round of 16
A. Tolev
#1929ATP
Last 10 · pre-match
WL
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 13 August 2026 ·
clay
#359ATP
28 yrs · 178 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLLLLWL
Tolev A.
2-6 0-6
Chepelev A.
Tolev A.
200
Chepelev A.
662

Andrey Chepelev defeated A. Tolev 6-2, 6-0 in the Round of 16 at the M25 Kursumlijska Banja 3 clay tournament. Chepelev won the match with a strong service performance, converting 75% of his break points and securing six service breaks. Tolev hit two aces but struggled with his first-serve win percentage, managing only 48%.

Key context

  • Match story: Andrey Chepelev handed A. Tolev a second-set bagel in a 6–2 6–0 win.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Tolev A.Chepelev A.
1st serve in·
67%
1st serve points won·
64%
2nd serve points won·
49%
Service points won·
59%
Return points won·
39%
Break points saved·
58%
Aces / match·
2.5
Double faults / match·
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Tolev A.13%
Chepelev A.87%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Chepelev A. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Tolev A.
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
3.03 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Tolev A.Chepelev A.
Freshness·Slight edge
100
89

Tolev A.: 17 days rest · Chepelev A.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
29°CClear
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 21%

Draw