Justin Schlageter vs Andrin CasanovaM25 Muttenz Round of 16

M25 Muttenz · ITF · Round of 16
#1081ATP
25 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLLLWL
1 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 13 August 2026 ·
clay
#1584ATP
22 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWLWW
Schlageter J.
5-7 7-6 4-6
Casanova A.
Schlageter J.
5741
Casanova A.
7662

Andrin Casanova defeated Justin Schlageter 7-5, 6-7, 6-4 in the Round of 16 at the M25 Muttenz tournament on clay. Casanova hit 2 aces and 6 double faults, while converting 33% of break points and winning 66% of first-serve points. Casanova secured 5 service breaks to Schlageter's 3.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
54%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
55%
Service points won·Even
62%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
36%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
67%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.6
3.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.3
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (7 vs 5). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Schlageter J.70%
Casanova A.30%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Schlageter J. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
3.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
28°CClear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 35%

Draw