Edas Butvilas vs Daniel MilavskyBrownsburg Round of 16

Brownsburg · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#204ATP
1544ELO
1499Hard ELO
22 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLLLL
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 13 August 2026 ·
hard
#310ATP
1349ELO
1337Hard ELO
24 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
Butvilas E.
6-7 5-7
Milavsky D.
Butvilas E.
6650
Milavsky D.
7872

Daniel Milavsky defeated Edas Butvilas in the Round of 16 at the Brownsburg hard-court tournament, winning 7-6, 7-5. Milavsky and Butvilas were even in aces with 6 each, and Milavsky had 2 double faults to Butvilas' 3. Milavsky converted 71% of his break points and won 5 service breaks to Butvilas' 4.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
71%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
50%
Service points won·Even
65%
66%
Return points won·Even
39%
35%
Break points saved·Clear edge
63%
76%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.2
8.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.8
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (37 vs 10). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Butvilas E.60%
Milavsky D.40%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Butvilas E. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.0+162 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.0Hard Elo 1337
7.4Overall Elo 1544
ELO gap
2.6Overall Elo 1348
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.97 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.27 of last 10 on hard
9.06-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.04 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Country comfort
5.9Won 66% in Usa (38)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
76
67

Butvilas E.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 25 games (7d) · Milavsky D.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 74 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
21°CFog
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 98%

Draw