Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Jan Lennard StruffCincinnati Round of 128

Cincinnati · ATP · Round of 128
#61ATP
1711ELO
1545Hard ELO
$458kYTD
$1.3MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWLL
1 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 13 August 2026 ·
hard
#43ATP
1694ELO
1634Hard ELO
$492kYTD
$13MCAREER
36 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWWWL
Burruchaga R.
6-7 6-2 3-6
Lennard Struff J.
Burruchaga R.
6631
Lennard Struff J.
7262

Jan Lennard Struff defeated Roman Andres Burruchaga in the Round of 128 at the Cincinnati tournament on hard courts. The match ended with a score of 7-6, 2-6, 6-3 in favor of Struff. He hit 16 aces and 8 double faults, while winning 74 percent of his first serves and converting 29 percent of break points.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-05-27Roland GarrosR128clayJan Lennard Struff6-3 6-2 6-1

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
57%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
66%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
60%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
43%
34%
Break points saved·Even
61%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.4
11.3
Double faults / match·Even
3.6
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (38 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
67
51
Break points saved·Dominant
68
96
Break points won·Dominant
73
5
Deciding sets·Clear edge
84
68
Tiebreaks·Dominant
65
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Burruchaga R.39%
Lennard Struff J.61%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Lennard Struff J. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.9Hard Elo 1545
Surface ELO
6.1+89 Hard Elo edge
5.2Overall Elo 1711
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1694
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
3.34 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
2.23 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
90
83

Burruchaga R.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d) · Lennard Struff J.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
29°CMainly clear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 75%

Draw