Eva Lys vs Anna BlinkovaCincinnati Q32

Cincinnati · WTA · Q32
#92WTA
1791ELO
1770Hard ELO
24 yrs · 165 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLWLWL
1 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 13 August 2026 ·
hard
#111WTA
1694ELO
1654Hard ELO
27 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLLWW
Lys E.
6-3 2-6 2-6
Blinkova A.
Lys E.
6221
Blinkova A.
3662

Anna Blinkova defeated Eva Lys in the Cincinnati qualifying round 2, third-set tiebreaker not needed, 3-6, 6-2, 6-2. Blinkova served six aces to Lys' zero and converted 62 percent of her break points compared to Lys' 31 percent. Blinkova won 62 percent of her first serves to Lys' 45 percent; she had eight service breaks to Lys' five.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
56%
58%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
39%
44%
Service points won·Even
50%
53%
Return points won·Even
43%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
47%
53%
Aces / match·Even
0.8
1.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.2
3.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 37). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
45
38
Break points saved·Even
9
11
Break points won·Slight edge
96
87
Deciding sets·Dominant
66
36
Tiebreaks·
89

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:50 UTC
Lys E.64%
Blinkova A.36%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Lys E. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
6.4+116 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.6Hard Elo 1654
6.2Overall Elo 1791
ELO gap
3.8Overall Elo 1694
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.45 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.34 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
69
58

Lys E.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 79 games (7d) · Blinkova A.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 103 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
19°CMainly clear
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 89%

Draw