Ugo Blanchet vs Rei SakamotoBrownsburg Round of 32

Brownsburg · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#192ATP
1521ELO
1546Hard ELO
$119kYTD
$989kCAREER
27 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWLLW
1 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 13 August 2026 ·
hard
DREW HASSENBEIN COURT · 2nd on
#165ATP
1608ELO
1589Hard ELO
$235kYTD
$494kCAREER
20 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWWLWLW
Blanchet U.
7-6 6-7 6-7
Sakamoto R.
Blanchet U.
7661
Sakamoto R.
6772

Ugo Blanchet defeated Rei Sakamoto in the Round of 32 at the Brownsburg hard-court tournament. The match ended with a score of 6-7, 7-6, 7-6 in favor of Blanchet. Blanchet hit 3 aces and 7 double faults, while winning 80% of first-serve points and converting 29% of break points; Sakamoto hit 18 aces and 5 double faults, winning 70% of first-serve points and converting 25% of break points; both players secured 2 service breaks.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
53%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
53%
Service points won·Even
64%
65%
Return points won·Even
34%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.6
6.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.6
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
34
49
Break points saved·Even
89
87
Break points won·Slight edge
15
8
Deciding sets·Dominant
12
93
Tiebreaks·Dominant
93
23

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTC
Blanchet U.30%
Sakamoto R.70%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Sakamoto R. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.5Hard Elo 1546
Surface ELO
5.5+43 Hard Elo edge
3.9Overall Elo 1521
ELO gap
6.1Overall Elo 1608
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.26 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.25 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Country comfort
5.1Won 52% in Usa (27)
7.0Grass → Hard
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
52
65

Blanchet U.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 105 games (7d) · Sakamoto R.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 95 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 24 km/hHumidity 93%

Draw