Aleksandar Vukic vs Darwin BlanchCincinnati Q64

Cincinnati · ATP · Q64
#99ATP
1630ELO
1597Hard ELO
$366kYTD
$3.9MCAREER
30 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 13 August 2026 ·
hard
#224ATP
1551ELO
1483Hard ELO
18 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWWLWL
Vukic A.
6-3 7-6
Blanch D.
Vukic A.
672
Blanch D.
360

Aleksandar Vukic defeated Darwin Blanch 6-3, 7-6 in a Cincinnati qualifying first-round match. Vukic hit 8 aces and committed 1 double fault, while Blanch had 10 aces and 1 double fault. Vukic won 89% of his first-serve points and converted 17% of his break points, breaking Blanch's serve once.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
57%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
49%
Service points won·Even
61%
64%
Return points won·Slight edge
34%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
60%
Aces / match·Even
5.7
5.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.0
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Vukic A.45%
Blanch D.55%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.4+114 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.6Hard Elo 1483
6.0Overall Elo 1630
ELO gap
4.0Overall Elo 1551
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.28 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
2.23 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 5
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
79
94

Vukic A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d) · Blanch D.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
19°COvercast
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 95%

Draw