Luca Pow vs Ozan BarisM25 East Lansing Round of 16

M25 East Lansing · ITF · Round of 16
#986ATP
21 yrs · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLLWLLWW
1 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 13 August 2026 ·
hard
#433ATP
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWWW
Pow L.
2-6 6-1 3-6
Baris O.
Pow L.
2631
Baris O.
6162

Ozan Baris defeated Luca Pow 6-2, 1-6, 6-3 in the Round of 16 at the M25 East Lansing tournament. Baris hit 3 aces and converted 60% of his break points, while Pow had no aces and converted 50% of his break points. Baris won the match with 3 service breaks to Pow's 2.

Key context

  • Match story: Ozan Baris closed it out in three sets, 6–2 1–6 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·
58%
1st serve points won·
75%
2nd serve points won·
41%
Service points won·
61%
Return points won·
38%
Break points saved·
45%
Aces / match·
2.0
Double faults / match·
6.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Pow L.15%
Baris O.85%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Baris O. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
6.1
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
1.71 of last 6 on hard
Surface form
5.25 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Country comfort
5.7Won 62% in Usa (79)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
99

Baris O.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
23°COvercast
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 91%

Draw