Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Alexander VisserM25 Koksijde Round of 16

M25 Koksijde · ITF · Round of 16
#230ATP
1476ELO
1438Clay ELO
20 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 13 August 2026 ·
clay
#1369ATP
56 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLLLL
Arnaud Bailly G.
6-2 6-4
Visser A.
Arnaud Bailly G.
662
Visser A.
240

Gilles Arnaud Bailly defeated Alexander Visser 6-2, 6-4 in the Round of 16 at the M25 Koksijde tournament on clay. Bailly did not hit an ace and did not make a double fault, while Visser had one of each. Bailly won 68% of his first-serve points and converted 60% of his break points, ultimately securing six service breaks to Visser's three.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·
63%
1st serve points won·
64%
2nd serve points won·
50%
Service points won·
59%
Return points won·
38%
Break points saved·
58%
Aces / match·
1.6
Double faults / match·
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Arnaud Bailly G.94%
Visser A.6%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Arnaud Bailly G. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.83 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
79

Arnaud Bailly G.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 27 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
27°CClear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 24%

Draw