Emiliana Arango vs N. PodoroskaCincinnati Q32

Cincinnati · WTA · Q32
#95WTA
1624ELO
1576Hard ELO
25 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Thursday, 13 August 2026 ·
hard
#504WTA
29 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLLLLWWW
Arango E.
4-6 7-5 6-3
Podoroska N.
Arango E.
4762
Podoroska N.
6531

Emiliana Arango defeated Nadia Podoroska 4-6, 7-5, 6-3 in the qualifying second round of the Cincinnati hard-court tournament. Arango hit 0 aces and 6 double faults, while Podoroska had 5 aces and 11 double faults. Arango converted 67% of her break points and won 6 service breaks to Podoroska's 5.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2020-01-15W25 MalibuR32hardN. Podoroska6-3 6-1
2019-11-06W60 ColinaR32clayEmiliana Arango4-6 6-3 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
71%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
57%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
43%
Service points won·Even
53%
55%
Return points won·Even
45%
47%
Break points saved·Even
54%
53%
Aces / match·Even
1.0
1.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.3
5.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 7). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Arango E.35%
Podoroska N.65%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Podoroska N. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
2.42 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.44 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
5.8Won 64% in Usa (61)
Country comfort
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
72
86

Arango E.: 3 days rest · 4 matches, 91 games (7d) · Podoroska N.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 47 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
27°CMainly clear
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 88%

Draw