Nina Sozaonova vs Haruna Arakawa — W15 Astana 5 Round of 16

W15 Astana 5 · ITF · Round of 16
RUS
Nina Sozaonova
#1129WTA
19 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLLLLWLW
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 13 August 2026 ·
hard
JPN5
Haruna Arakawa
#723WTA
26 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLLLLL
Sozaonova N.
0-6 5-7
Arakawa H.
Sozaonova N.
050
Arakawa H.
672

Haruna Arakawa defeated Nina Sozaonova in the Round of 16 at the W15 Astana 5. The match ended with a score of 6-0, 7-5 in favor of Arakawa. Arakawa converted 42% of her break points and secured 5 service breaks, compared to Sozaonova's 1 service break and 17% break point conversion.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Sozaonova N.Arakawa H.
1st serve in·
52%
—
1st serve points won·
68%
—
2nd serve points won·
46%
—
Service points won·
57%
—
Return points won·
47%
—
Break points saved·
45%
—
Aces / match·
2.3
—
Double faults / match·
3.7
—

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Sozaonova N.33%
Arakawa H.67%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Arakawa H. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Sozaonova N.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Arakawa H.
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.97 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.55 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
28°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 31%

Draw