Joel Schwaerzler vs Andres AndradeBrownsburg Round of 32

Brownsburg · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#150ATP
1577ELO
1519Hard ELO
$102kYTD
$301kCAREER
20 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLWLLL
1 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 13 August 2026 ·
hard
ED BRUNE COURT · 2nd on
#256ATP
1505ELO
1427Hard ELO
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLLLLL
Schwaerzler J.
3-6 7-6 5-7
Andrade A.
Schwaerzler J.
37751
Andrade A.
66572

Andres Andrade defeated Joel Schwaerzler in the Round of 32 at the Brownsburg hard-court tournament. The match ended with a score of 6-3, 6-7, 7-5 in favor of Andrade. Andrade converted 88% of his break points and secured 7 service breaks, compared to Schwaerzler's 56% conversion rate and 5 service breaks.

Key context

  • Match story: Andres Andrade closed it out in three sets, 6–3 6–7 7–5.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
67%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
65%
59%
Return points won·Slight edge
34%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
69%
59%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.5
2.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.7
3.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (35 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
55
44
Break points saved·Dominant
89
53
Break points won·Dominant
4
50
Deciding sets·Dominant
83
45
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
77
91

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Schwaerzler J.60%
Andrade A.40%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Schwaerzler J. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.2+93 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.8Hard Elo 1427
5.9Overall Elo 1577
ELO gap
4.1Overall Elo 1505
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
9.19 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.35 of last 10 on hard
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Country comfort
6.2Won 70% in Usa (71)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
72
64

Schwaerzler J.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 34 games (7d) · Andrade A.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 87 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
23°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 92%

Draw