Alex Barrena vs Luciano Emanuel AmbrogiTodi Round of 16

Todi · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#259ATP
1375ELO
1347Clay ELO
$100kYTD
$266kCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 13 August 2026 ·
clay
GRANDSTAND · 2nd on
#319ATP
1392ELO
1382Clay ELO
22 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWLLW
Barrena A.
6-2 6-3
Emanuel Ambrogi L.
Barrena A.
662
Emanuel Ambrogi L.
230

Alex Barrena advanced to the quarterfinals of the Todi tournament, defeating Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi in the Round of 16. Barrena won in straight sets, 6-2, 6-3. In the match, Barrena had one ace and one double fault, while Ambrogi also had one ace but two double faults; Barrena converted 50% of break points and broke Ambrogi's serve five times, compared to Ambrogi's two breaks.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
56%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
67%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
45%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
55%
60%
Return points won·Even
39%
42%
Break points saved·Even
56%
57%
Aces / match·Even
2.6
2.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.4
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
30
2
Break points saved·Clear edge
43
27
Break points won·Slight edge
54
45
Deciding sets·Clear edge
27
10
Tiebreaks·Dominant
68
6

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Barrena A.42%
Emanuel Ambrogi L.58%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Emanuel Ambrogi L. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.6Clay Elo 1347
Surface ELO
5.4+35 Clay Elo edge
4.8Overall Elo 1375
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 1392
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
5.15 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.55 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
82
74

Barrena A.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 40 games (7d) · Emanuel Ambrogi L.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 48 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
36°CClear
Wind 21 km/hHumidity 23%

Draw