Fajing Sun vs Semen PankinAstana Round of 16

Astana · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#324ATP
1496ELO
1473Hard ELO
$32kYTD
$490kCAREER
29 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLLLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 12 August 2026 ·
hard
CENTER COURT · 2nd on
#426ATP
26 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLWLWLWW
Sun F.
4-6 7-6 6-3
Pankin S.
Sun F.
4762
Pankin S.
6631

Fajing Sun defeated Semen Pankin in the Round of 16 at the Astana tournament, coming back from a set down to win 4-6, 7-6, 6-3 on hard courts. Sun served 5 aces and committed 3 double faults, while Pankin had 13 aces and 8 double faults. Sun converted 36% of break points and broke Pankin's serve 5 times, compared to Pankin's 4 service breaks.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·
59%
1st serve points won·
72%
2nd serve points won·
55%
Service points won·
65%
Return points won·
38%
Break points saved·
66%
Aces / match·
3.5
Double faults / match·
1.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 06:50 UTC
Sun F.56%
Pankin S.44%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.1
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
4.04 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.96 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
77
88

Sun F.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 56 games (7d) · Pankin S.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 32 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
23°CClear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 44%

Draw