Nicolas Zanellato vs Juan Bautista OteguiM15 Asuncion Round of 16

M15 Asuncion · ITF · Round of 16
#757ATP
24 yrs · 168 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 12 August 2026 ·
clay
#1497ATP
27 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLLLWLLL
Zanellato N.
2-6 7-6 7-5
Bautista Otegui J.
Zanellato N.
2772
Bautista Otegui J.
6651

Nicolas Zanellato defeated Juan Bautista Otegui in the Round of 16 at the M15 Asuncion tournament on clay, winning 2-6, 7-6, 7-5. Zanellato hit 0 aces and 2 double faults, winning 54% of first-serve points and converting 40% of break points. Otegui had 2 aces and 9 double faults, winning 67% of first-serve points and converting 37% of break points; he also had one more service break than Zanellato.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-06-01M25 Kiseljak 1R16clayJuan Bautista Otegui7-6(4) 5-7 6-1

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
73%
49%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
61%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
47%
Service points won·Even
57%
60%
Return points won·Even
43%
45%
Break points saved·Even
57%
54%
Aces / match·Clear edge
0.9
3.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.0
11.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (17 vs 2). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Zanellato N.72%
Bautista Otegui J.28%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Zanellato N. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
3.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
6.67 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
2.93 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
14°CPartly cloudy
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 93%

Draw