Marco Trungelliti vs Sebastian Ofner — Cincinnati Q64

Cincinnati · ATP · Q64
Marco Trungelliti
ARG6
Marco Trungelliti
#91ATP
1627ELO
1496Hard ELO
$400kYTD
$2.6MCAREER
36 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 12 August 2026 ·
hard
Sebastian Ofner
AUT
Sebastian Ofner
#127ATP
1713ELO
1655Hard ELO
$349kYTD
$3.8MCAREER
30 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLWLWW
Trungelliti M.
4-6 6-4 7-6
Ofner S.
Trungelliti M.
4672
Ofner S.
6461

Marco Trungelliti defeated Sebastian Ofner in the qualifying round 64 of the Cincinnati hard-court tournament. The match ended with a score of 4-6, 6-4, 6-6, with Trungelliti prevailing. The two players converted an equal number of service breaks, five each.

Key context

Head to head

3–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-07-15HamburgR32clayMarco Trungelliti6-1 4-3
2018-04-30IstanbulQ1clayMarco Trungelliti6-3 6-2
2018-04-28IstanbulQ16clayMarco Trungelliti6-3 6-2

Statistics

This season
Trungelliti M.Ofner S.
1st serve in·Even
61%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
71%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
53%
Service points won·Even
63%
66%
Return points won·Even
38%
36%
Break points saved·Even
65%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.6
8.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.9
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (36 vs 36). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Trungelliti M.Ofner S.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
23
66
Break points saved·Slight edge
78
88
Break points won·Clear edge
25
46
Deciding sets·Dominant
42
85
Tiebreaks·Dominant
11
74

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Trungelliti M.35%
Ofner S.65%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Ofner S. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Trungelliti M.
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Ofner S.
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.0Hard Elo 1496
Surface ELO
7.0+158 Hard Elo edge
3.9Overall Elo 1627
ELO gap
6.1Overall Elo 1713
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
1.32 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
8.59 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Trungelliti M.Ofner S.
Freshness·Dominant
61
89

Trungelliti M.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 111 games (7d) · Ofner S.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
21°CFog
Wind 38 km/hHumidity 97%

Draw