Dimitris Sakellaridis vs Petr NesterovM25 Muttenz Round of 32

M25 Muttenz · ITF · Round of 32
#562ATP
20 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 12 August 2026 ·
clay
#301ATP
1456ELO
1410Clay ELO
23 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
Sakellaridis D.
6-7 7-6 6-3
Nesterov P.
Sakellaridis D.
6762
Nesterov P.
7631

Dimitris Sakellaridis defeated Petr Nesterov in the Round of 32 at the M25 Muttenz tournament on clay. The match ended with a score of 6-7, 7-6, 6-3 in favor of Sakellaridis. Dimitris Sakellaridis hit 2 aces and 3 double faults, while converting 30% of break points and winning 74% of first-serve points; Petr Nesterov had 7 aces, 2 double faults, 29% break points converted and 65% first-serve points won.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
53%
Service points won·Even
58%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
48%
40%
Break points saved·Even
55%
53%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.1
4.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.0
1.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Sakellaridis D.22%
Nesterov P.78%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Nesterov P. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
Surface form
6.26 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.0Hard → Clay
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
79
94

Sakellaridis D.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 43 games (7d) · Nesterov P.: 11 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
28°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 36%

Draw