J J Wolf vs Shintaro MochizukiCincinnati Q64

Cincinnati · ATP · Q64
#285ATP
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 12 August 2026 ·
hard
#112ATP
1475ELO
1425Hard ELO
$243kYTD
$1.6MCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWLW
Wolf J.
6-2 2-6 6-3
Mochizuki S.
Wolf J.
6262
Mochizuki S.
2631

J J Wolf defeated Shintaro Mochizuki in the qualifying round of 64 at the Cincinnati hard-court tournament. The match ended with a score of 6-2, 2-6, 6-3 in favor of Wolf. Key stats included Wolf's 6 aces and 6 double faults compared to Mochizuki's 5 aces and 5 double faults; Wolf won 74% of his first-serve points to Mochizuki's 67%, and converted 31% of break points to Mochizuki's 57%, with Wolf securing 5 service breaks to Mochizuki's 4.

Around the match

  • The facilities were nearly unrecognizable from when he last played at the tournament in 2024.

  • It's been a lot of mental barriers. The pain hurt, but when the doctor put my shoulder back into place at the court and told me I was done for the year, that's what hurt more.

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

  • Match story: J J Wolf closed it out in three sets, 6–2 2–6 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
51%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
47%
Service points won·Even
60%
58%
Return points won·Slight edge
34%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
50%
58%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.8
3.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.0
4.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (4 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
59
25
Break points saved·Dominant
87
60
Break points won·Clear edge
51
68
Deciding sets·Dominant
83
5
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
41
57

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTC
Wolf J.45%
Mochizuki S.55%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
6.1
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
8.48 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.66 of last 10 on hard
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
76
93

Wolf J.: 5 days rest · 3 matches, 80 games (7d) · Mochizuki S.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 25 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
19°CClear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 90%

Draw