Marko Mesarovic vs Oliver OkonkwoM25 East Lansing Round of 32

M25 East Lansing · ITF · Round of 32
#1302ATP
21 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 12 August 2026 ·
hard
#975ATP
26 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWLWWL
Mesarovic M.
7-6 7-6
Okonkwo O.
Mesarovic M.
772
Okonkwo O.
660

Marko Mesarovic defeated Oliver Okonkwo in the Round of 32 at the M25 East Lansing tournament, winning 7-6, 7-6 on hard courts. Mesarovic and Okonkwo were evenly matched in several areas, including double faults and service breaks, but Mesarovic had a higher first-serve win percentage. Okonkwo had five aces and converted all of his break points, but was ultimately unable to secure the win.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·
71%
1st serve points won·
66%
2nd serve points won·
65%
Service points won·
66%
Return points won·
21%
Break points saved·
71%
Aces / match·
9.0
Double faults / match·
1.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Mesarovic M.50%
Okonkwo O.50%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
2.32 of last 8 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.7Won 62% in Usa (39)
Country comfort
4.9Won 48% in Usa (50)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
25°COvercast
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 76%

Draw