Maria Sara Popa vs Matilde MarianiW15 Bucharest 3 Round of 32

W15 Bucharest 3 · ITF · Round of 32
#430WTA
1412ELO
1395Clay ELO
21 yrs · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
0 — 0
Sets
Retired
Wednesday, 12 August 2026 ·
clay
#961WTA
24 yrs · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLW
Sara Popa M.
1-0
Mariani M.
Sara Popa M.
10
Mariani M.
00

Matilde Mariani defeated Maria Sara Popa in the Round of 32 at the W15 Bucharest 3 tournament on clay. The match ended with a score of 1-0 in favor of Mariani. Neither player recorded an ace, double fault, or service break during the match.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2020-10-25W15 Heraklion 6Q16clayMatilde Mariani6-2 6-1

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
63%
56%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
43%
38%
Service points won·Slight edge
56%
49%
Return points won·Even
47%
47%
Break points saved·Clear edge
54%
42%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.5
0.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.9
8.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 11). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 06:50 UTC
Sara Popa M.75%
Mariani M.25%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Sara Popa M. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
4.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
4.85 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
27°CClear
Wind 23 km/hHumidity 54%

Draw