Alina Korneeva vs Varvara Lepchenko — Cincinnati Q64
USAWC
Korneeva A.
Alina Korneeva defeated Varvara Lepchenko in the qualifying round 64 of the Cincinnati hard-court tournament. Korneeva won the match 6-3, 6-1. In the match, Korneeva hit 2 aces and 2 double faults, while Lepchenko hit 1 ace and 4 double faults; Korneeva converted 45% of break points and broke Lepchenko's serve 5 times, compared to Lepchenko's 1 service break and 25% conversion rate on break points.
Key context
- Match story: Alina Korneeva dropped just 4 games past Varvara Lepchenko.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (36 vs 35). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Korneeva A. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadKorneeva A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d) · Lepchenko V.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About